Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Green Jobs Meets Bayes

Below is data from the Employment and Training Administration  (Department of Labor) relating to the grants that were provided under the “Stimulus” bill to train workers for “green” jobs.  It compares estimates that were made to justify the grants versus results actually obtained. Bayesian analysis would suggest that this data should alter Congress’ expectations about such programs. Think it will? 

Consider your own job. How long do you think your employer would continue to pay you to do projects that never even came close to the projections you gave?

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